Close Menu
    What's Hot

    Morrisons Retirement Saver Plan Completes Bulk Purchase Annuity Buy-In With Aviva

    28 May 2025

    Yellow Pages Limited Purchases Group Annuity Contracts From BMO Life Assurance Company

    22 May 2025

    Life ILS Conference 2025

    20 May 2025
    Facebook X (Twitter) Instagram
    Instagram LinkedIn X (Twitter)
    Life Risk News
    • Home
    • Features

      New Data Shows the Extent to Which American Seniors Are Missing Out by Lapsing or Surrendering their Life Insurance Policy

      14 May 2025

      Buy-Ins To Buy-Outs Appear Stalled As Deal Complexity, Administration Resources Pose Obstacles

      14 May 2025

      Is Servicing an Overlooked Source of Life Settlement Alpha?

      14 May 2025

      Q&A: Shelly Beard, Managing Director, WTW

      14 May 2025

      Longevity Tech to Emerge as Distinct Sub-Sector of Venture Capital Market?

      14 May 2025
    • Commentary

      UK Life Insurers to Benefit from Robust Bulk Annuity Market in 2025

      14 May 2025

      The Power of Uncorrelated Diversification During Market Volatility

      14 May 2025

      Overseeing BPA Growth Safely

      14 May 2025

      Could Climate Change Cause the Buy-In Market To Collapse?

      10 April 2025

      ICS vs Solvency II: Comparing Risk Corrections for Illiquid Liabilities

      10 April 2025
    • Events
    • Magazine
    • News

      Morrisons Retirement Saver Plan Completes Bulk Purchase Annuity Buy-In With Aviva

      28 May 2025

      Yellow Pages Limited Purchases Group Annuity Contracts From BMO Life Assurance Company

      22 May 2025

      Andrew Limited Pension and Life Assurance Plan Completes Bulk Annuity Transaction With Aviva

      15 May 2025

      Life Insurance Settlement Association Publishes Latest Market Data Collection Survey Results

      13 May 2025

      UK Aggregate Defined Benefit Pension Fund Surplus Down Again in April

      12 May 2025
    Subscribe
    Life Risk News
    Home » Moderation in All Things

    Moderation in All Things

    Commentary 12 May 2023Charlotte GerkenBy Charlotte Gerken
    Twitter LinkedIn Email
    Bank of England
    Share
    Twitter LinkedIn Email

    This article is an abridged version of the original, which can be found at https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/speech/2023/april/charlotte-gerken-speech-bulk-annuities-conference

    A lot is happening in the Bulk Purchase Annuities (BPA) market: pension scheme funding levels have greatly benefited from the rise in interest rates[1], and the UK insurance industry is preparing itself for record levels of bulk purchase annuity transfers[2].

    De-risking corporates of their legacy defined benefit schemes brings substantial benefits to UK plc, and the additional capital insurers inject contributes to the security of pension scheme members. This structural shift in the provision of retirement income also gives insurers an increasingly important role as long term investors in the UK real economy. Insurers therefore need to balance the short term financial and reputational incentives to grow rapidly, with long term and enduring financial strength, to meet the long term needs of policyholders and the economy.

    Market developments – Accelerated growth

    From historic lows of 0.1% in December 2021, the UK Bank rate rose to 4.25% in March 2023. While it could hardly be described as plain sailing for pension schemes or their sponsors, the rise in interest rates has generally reduced the value of their liabilities and boosted funding ratios (see chart 1). This has greatly improved the affordability of buy-outs for many pension schemes.

    At the same time, trustees of pension schemes are reported to be increasingly viewing buy-outs as a long-term target[3]. Increased affordability and a decreased appetite to retain this risk have led to a growing appetite for schemes to transact in one go, rather than perform staged buy-ins spread over several years[4]. So called ‘jumbo’ schemes may also present exciting opportunities for the insurers. This all points to a material increase in pension schemes’ demand for BPA in 2023. But I’d note that this is an acceleration of the existing demand for BPA in a large but finite market in run-off (see chart 2 and 3).

    This heightened demand from pension schemes might lead you to think that there is enough new business for all insurers to get their fill, leading to competitive pressures easing up. In practice, given the lumpiness and finite nature of this market, I see strong incentives for insurers to stretch their supply capabilities in the short term, to capture as much of the new business while they can, before leaner years arrive. So, let us move to the main course, and examine three areas where we see this stretch arising in practice.

    An expansion of risk appetites

    As deals become larger and increasingly focused on buy-outs of complete schemes, we observe BPA writers expanding their risk appetite, sometimes outside their current core expertise. Firstly, our supervisory work suggests there is an increased appetite to insure deferred pension scheme members: the younger, not yet retired individuals. They bring several additional risks for insurers including much greater uncertainty in the longevity risk, as assumptions have to be made over a much longer period of time, together with risks stemming from policyholder options, such as cash commutation, flexibility on retirement age and transfers outs[5]. This appetite is supported by reinsurers, who provide both pricing expertise and capital.

    Secondly, the disruption in the UK gilt market last autumn resulted in some pension schemes being overweight in illiquid assets[6] as gilt values fell significantly, and schemes sought to reduce their leverage under liability driven investment strategies[7]. We see insurers increasingly developing solutions to accept illiquid assets as part of the BPA premium, as pension schemes may be reluctant to dispose of these assets in the open market, potentially at a large discount. This requires significant due diligence, and we are seeing insurers seeking more advice from third party specialists such as property valuation experts both for illiquid asset valuation and to calibrate adequate market value haircuts. Alternatively, we have seen deferrals of premiums incorporated in deals giving pension schemes time to dispose of such assets in an orderly fashion[8]. These premium arrangements can be complex and potentially capital intensive due to the increased uncertainty they can create.

    The PRA welcomes innovations in this market as insurers seek to better support their clients. At the same time, we want insurers to understand the additional risks and uncertainties when accepting premium that includes such assets. Even if firms use external expertise to price or manage these deals, Boards remain accountable for the decisions taken. They need to understand the basis for advice from third parties and to challenge the advice robustly. Straightforward questions need good answers: are these risks within appetite? have the bespoke features of the deal been considered over the full lifetime? how has the inherent uncertainty present been captured within the decision-making process? As noted in our 2023 Supervision Priorities letter[9], we are carrying out a thematic review to assess whether BPA writers’ risk management processes are keeping pace with their growth ambitions and expanding risk appetites.

    A reliance on third-party capacity

    The second area is the use of third-party capital and asset origination capacity, known as funded reinsurance, to support these large new business transactions that are both capital-intensive and put a strain on in house asset origination capabilities. In principle, attracting new capital to support BPA liabilities is positive – so long as the capital is aligned with the long-term risks it is intended to support.

    Our work so far has focussed on the evolving contract and collateral structuring, the counterparty risk management frameworks, internal model approaches and firms’ stress and scenario testing.

    We are exploring these aspects carefully and are increasingly focussed on four key elements:

    1. Recapture events: We have looked at the circumstances under which the risks that insurers have ceded might end up back on their own balance sheets. Default of the reinsurer is only one of them. Voluntary and automatic contractual termination triggers linked to solvency coverage ratios, credit ratings, or legal and regulatory environments bring material uncertainty to the recapture triggers.
    2. Wrong way risk: We have observed the emergence of reinsurers with newer business models narrowly focused on credit markets where diversification benefits might be less evident[10]. This introduces a wrong way risk as the quality of the collateral portfolio is likely to deteriorate as the financial condition of the reinsurer falls.
    3. Collateral management: The latter two risks are magnified by the increasing use of less liquid assets in collateral portfolios such as structured products, commercial mortgages and private credit. Here, credit rating, valuation and matching adjustment (MA) eligibility uncertainty might exist which may not be adequately mitigated by valuation haircuts and margining practices.
    4. Management actions: On recapture, insurers have to estimate the cost and mitigating effect of the management actions potentially available to them. This might include the cost of entering replacement contracts, asset portfolio rebalancing with potentially high transaction costs, unpredictable prices as market liquidity dries up, and unwinding or replacing large crosscurrency hedging exposures. These bring material uncertainty, as estimates of the costs and benefits in stressed conditions are inherently difficult to predict accurately.

    Taken together, these four elements are significant and should factor into the industry’s risk appetite for using third party capital and their asset origination capabilities. Senior managers therefore need to reflect on these inherent uncertainties when making business decisions. They need to approach these arrangements with caution and consider carefully whether their risk management processes are able to deal with these risks adequately. With responsibilities for pension payments for millions of policyholders for decades into the future, insurers need to demonstrate they can execute these transactions prudently and manage their risks over the whole life of the contracts.

    More broadly, the long-term implications for the UK economy of these arrangements bear examination. Within the objectives of the Solvency II reforms, it is not clear that the incentives of third-party capital providers are aligned with UK insurers’ role in making investments in UK based long-term infrastructure and productive assets. Both the PRA and insurers need to think about the opportunity cost of funded reinsurance – in terms of UK direct investments foregone – as well as the benefits and risks.

    Greater interconnectivity with wider financial markets

    Related to that point, the third area I would like to touch on is a key aspect of the changing pensions and insurance landscape. One industry estimate, suggests that the UK life insurance industry could onboard more than £500bn of pension liabilities – and associated assets – over the coming decade[11] [12]. This is a big structural change in the control of long-term investments in the UK, and the decisions that insurers make now will have long term consequences for the performance and development of the broader economy.

    In line with the Government’s objectives for Solvency II reform, insurers’ investment strategies have an important role in supporting sectors that require certainty of funding over the long term, including education, social housing and infrastructure, and where financing the transition to net zero such as via renewable energy infrastructure and technologies requires patient and deliberate commitment. Making such investments can also generate a competitive advantage in a market where ESG credentials are increasingly valued by trustees[13].

    This could generate material benefits to society – and to insurers – provided they maintain discipline in their leverage, that is, the extent to which they deploy debt capital and use reinsurance to back their promises to policyholders. Taking on new BPA business in volume, over a relatively short period, will also involve significant hedging programmes via interest rate, cross currency and inflation swaps, more complex investment arrangements, and will increase interconnectivity with the wider financial market. Insurers therefore need to understand, as they take on these vast sums of assets and liabilities, how they may become greater sources or amplifiers of liquidity risk.

    In this context, insurers need to focus on the feasibility of their own management actions under stress. Our 2022 Life Insurance Stress Test feedback[14] noted that concurrent reactions in stress can reduce the effectiveness of any assumed management actions. Better and more frequent information, improved modelling capabilities and enhanced liquidity management will inform this, but firms cannot fully resolve these uncertainties via these methods. Senior management therefore need to limit their need to rely on trading and rebalancing in stress, as such activities may destabilise financial markets further, which would be to their own detriment.

    Conclusion – Desired outcomes

    The BPA market is in a period of accelerated growth and yes, while we are pleased with the opportunities this brings, insurers should approach this with moderation.

    A healthy and sustainable life insurance market is a long-term value creator for the whole economy. It is in everybody’s interests to work together to ensure a dynamic vibrant industry for years to come. One that serves the needs of, and provides protection for, customers, and makes the strongest contribution it possibly can to investment in the wider UK economy.

    Charlotte Gerken is Executive Director for Insurance Supervision at the Bank of England


    Any views expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of Life Risk News or its publisher, the European Life Settlement Association.

    Footnotes:

    1. PPF7800 Index March 2023 update
    2. Risk Transfer Report 2023 – Hymans Robertson
    3. Pension Trustees: The Planning Puzzle | Charles Stanley (charles-stanley.co.uk)
    4. Defined benefit bulk annuity market favours full scheme transactions as funding levels improve (xpsgroup.com)
    5. Report of the Member Options Working Party – Actuarial profession
    6. Illiquid assets throw UK pensions off balance – Risk.net
    7. Asset managers cut debt in pension scheme investing strategies | Financial Times (ft.com)
    8. Shifting up a gear – WTW
    9. Insurance supervision: 2023 priorities (bankofengland.co.uk)
    10. Why private equity sees life and annuities as an enticing form of permanent capital | McKinsey
    11. UK pensions implosion could end with a deals boom | Financial Times (ft.com)
    12. Buy-in and buy-out volumes £10-£12bn in the first half of 2022 – Hymans Robertson
    13. bulk annuity provider ESG index – WTW (wtwco.com)
    14. Insurance Stress Test 2022 feedback (bankofengland.co.uk)
    2023 - May Longevity and Mortality Risk Transfer Longevity Risk Pension Risk Transfer Volume 2 Issue 5 - May 2023
    Share. Twitter LinkedIn Email

    Related Posts

    UK Life Insurers to Benefit from Robust Bulk Annuity Market in 2025

    14 May 2025

    The Power of Uncorrelated Diversification During Market Volatility

    14 May 2025

    Overseeing BPA Growth Safely

    14 May 2025

    Could Climate Change Cause the Buy-In Market To Collapse?

    10 April 2025

    Comments are closed.

    Most Popular

    New Data Shows the Extent to Which American Seniors Are Missing Out by Lapsing or Surrendering their Life Insurance Policy

    14 May 2025

    Buy-Ins To Buy-Outs Appear Stalled As Deal Complexity, Administration Resources Pose Obstacles

    14 May 2025

    Is Servicing an Overlooked Source of Life Settlement Alpha?

    14 May 2025

    UK Life Insurers to Benefit from Robust Bulk Annuity Market in 2025

    14 May 2025
    Ad

    Your trusted source for capital markets participation in Life Risk

    X (Twitter) Instagram LinkedIn
    Life Risk
    • About Life Risk News
    • Get In Touch
    • Our Team
    • Copyright Notice
    • Terms and Conditions
    • Privacy Policy
    • Sitemap
    Coverage
    • Home
    • Features
    • Events
    • Commentary
    Subscribe

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.

    We use cookies on our website to give you the most relevant experience by remembering your preferences and repeat visits. By clicking “Accept All”, you consent to the use of ALL the cookies. However, you may visit "Cookie Settings" to provide a controlled consent.
    Cookie SettingsAccept All
    Manage consent

    Privacy Overview

    This website uses cookies to improve your experience while you navigate through the website. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. We also use third-party cookies that help us analyze and understand how you use this website. These cookies will be stored in your browser only with your consent. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience.
    Necessary
    Always Enabled
    Necessary cookies are absolutely essential for the website to function properly. These cookies ensure basic functionalities and security features of the website, anonymously.
    CookieDurationDescription
    cookielawinfo-checkbox-analytics11 monthsThis cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Analytics".
    cookielawinfo-checkbox-functional11 monthsThe cookie is set by GDPR cookie consent to record the user consent for the cookies in the category "Functional".
    cookielawinfo-checkbox-necessary11 monthsThis cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookies is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Necessary".
    cookielawinfo-checkbox-others11 monthsThis cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Other.
    cookielawinfo-checkbox-performance11 monthsThis cookie is set by GDPR Cookie Consent plugin. The cookie is used to store the user consent for the cookies in the category "Performance".
    viewed_cookie_policy11 monthsThe cookie is set by the GDPR Cookie Consent plugin and is used to store whether or not user has consented to the use of cookies. It does not store any personal data.
    Functional
    Functional cookies help to perform certain functionalities like sharing the content of the website on social media platforms, collect feedbacks, and other third-party features.
    Performance
    Performance cookies are used to understand and analyze the key performance indexes of the website which helps in delivering a better user experience for the visitors.
    Analytics
    Analytical cookies are used to understand how visitors interact with the website. These cookies help provide information on metrics the number of visitors, bounce rate, traffic source, etc.
    Advertisement
    Advertisement cookies are used to provide visitors with relevant ads and marketing campaigns. These cookies track visitors across websites and collect information to provide customized ads.
    Others
    Other uncategorized cookies are those that are being analyzed and have not been classified into a category as yet.
    SAVE & ACCEPT